Is ONDO Price at Risk as RWA Growth Weakens?

Since mid-February, the ONDO price has been stuck in a sideways trend within the formation of a triangle pattern. Real-world asset (RWA) tokenization momentum has softened after a prolonged expansion phase. According to DeFiLlama data, the total volume locked (TVL) into ONDO protocol has surged 28% since last week to $3.5 billion, projecting an increasing inflow into its DeFi service. Ondo, the native governance token of Ondo Finance , is up 1.4% ahead of the U.S. market hours on Friday, to currently trade at $0.26. However, the uptick lacks traders support as the 24-hour trading volume is down 15% to $50 million. Other than escalating geopolitical tension between the U.S. and Iran, this weak momentum price jump can be linked to stalled growth in Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization. Will this slowdown drag ONDO price to $0.2 or buyers can build momentum for the next breakout? ONDO Holds Strong Despite Slowing RWA Momentum The tokenization of real-world assets has registered its first observable deceleration following months of uninterrupted growth. Distributed tokenized asset value was at $27.49 billion with a growth of only 1.74% in the last thirty days. The stablecoin value was fixed at $299.88 billion with a minor decrease of 0.07%, and the asset holders have been increasing by 5.71%. The cooling is partly due to stagnant gold prices pulling on commodity tokenization, and flat action in the US Treasuries despite their leadership role. Other slowing pace has been observed in tokenized stocks and asset-backed credit segments. Though this wider RWA slowdown may put a strain on sentiment regarding ONDO, the impact is subtle. By early April 2026, the distributed asset value of Ondo was $3.05 billion, increasing by 13.54% in thirty days, with a strong monthly transfer volume of $2.85 billion, increasing by 39%. USDY, which has recently increased by 8 percent and is close to $1.75 billion, and tokenized stocks, which held a majority of the market in March, with more than $2 billion in turnover, are also performing better than the industry trend. The recent Holder growth throughout RWAs remains positive in the 5-9% range. Ondo benefits by the strength of real yield offerings and increasing institutional interest, as well as its expansion into tokenized equities and availability on a variety of chains such as Ethereum and Solana. These factors offer a certain cushion to any flattening in Treasury-related action. The ONDO token can therefore experience a minor price decline in the near future due to the changing market sentiment, but the network demand and activity suggest long-term growth. Triangle Pattern Drive Short-Term Consolidation In ONDO Price Over the past seven weeks, the ONDO price has been resonating within a narrow range between two converging trend lines, exhibiting the formation of a triangle pattern. The dynamic resistance and support continue to limit ONDO’s price action around $0.26 reflecting a lack of initiation from buyers and sellers. Amid geopolitical tension in the Middle East and slowdown in RAW growth, could prolong this sideways action for the coming weeks or months. However, as no trend remains the same in a financial asset, the ONDO price could soon eventually attempt a breakout beyond the triangle range. In a bullish scenario, an upside breach from the pattern’s resistance trend at $0.285 could renew the recovery momentum in price and the post-breakout surge could push beyond 23% to hit $0.35 resistance. ONDO/USDT -1D Chart On the contrary note, a breakdown below the pattern’s bottom trendline could drag the underprice to $0.27 psychological level.